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A Reconstruction of Regional and Global Temperature for the Past 11,300 Years

Marcott, Shaun A., Shakun, Jeremy D., Clark, Peter U and Mix, Alan C. (2013) A Reconstruction of Regional and Global Temperature for the Past 11,300 Years. SCIENCE, 339 (6124). pp. 1198-1201. [Journal article]

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DOI: 10.1126/science.1228026


Surface temperature reconstructions of the past 1500 years suggest that recent warming is unprecedented in that time. Here we provide a broader perspective by reconstructing regional and global temperature anomalies for the past 11,300 years from 73 globally distributed records. Early Holocene (10,000 to 5000 years ago) warmth is followed by ~0.7°C cooling through the middle to late Holocene (<5000 years ago), culminating in the coolest temperatures of the Holocene during the Little Ice Age, about 200 years ago. This cooling is largely associated with ~2°C change in the North Atlantic. Current global temperatures of the past decade have not yet exceeded peak interglacial values but are warmer than during ~75% of the Holocene temperature history. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change model projections for 2100 exceed the full distribution of Holocene temperature under all plausible greenhouse gas emission scenarios.

Item Type:Journal article
Faculties and Schools:Faculty of Life and Health Sciences > School of Geography and Environmental Sciences
Faculty of Life and Health Sciences
Research Institutes and Groups:Environmental Sciences Research Institute > Quaternary Environmental Change
Environmental Sciences Research Institute
ID Code:27105
Deposited By: Mrs Linda Allen
Deposited On:29 Sep 2013 08:47
Last Modified:29 Sep 2013 08:47

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